Match: Africa Cup of Nations
Fixture: Côte d'Ivoire vs Mozambique
Local Kick-off Time: December 24, 18:30
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Opening Odds
| Category | Option | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 1.36 |
| X | 4.33 | |
| 2 | 7.50 | |
| Asian Handicap | -1/1.5 | 1.90 |
| +1/1.5 | 1.90 | |
| Scored | Goals Threshold: 2.5 | - |
| Over (2.5) | 1.97 | |
| Under (2.5) | 1.82 | |
| Corners | Corners Threshold: 8.5 | - |
| Over (8.5) | 1.80 | |
| Under (8.5) | 1.90 |
Summary: Côte d'Ivoire Win
Based on the historical heritage and current strength of the two teams, the overall pattern of this match is likely to be Côte d'Ivoire dominating possession and applying continuous pressure, while Mozambique defends with all players and waits for counter-attack opportunities. In terms of advantages, Côte d'Ivoire leads comprehensively in strength, home advantage, squad depth and tournament experience. The bookmakers have given Côte d'Ivoire a -1.25 goal line, which fully reflects their optimism about Côte d'Ivoire. Although Mozambique has resilience, the injury troubles and strength gap are hard to make up for. Under long-term passive defense, the defense is likely to have loopholes. The result of this match is likely to be a comfortable win for Côte d'Ivoire in their first game.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Côte d'Ivoire
As a traditional powerhouse in African football,Côte d'Ivoire is a regular and strong contender in the Africa Cup – they have qualified for the main draw 25 times, ranking second in the list of participation times, second only to Egypt's 26 times. The team also holds 3 Africa Cup championships. In the last edition (2024), as the host nation, they staged a "coaching change comeback" miracle: after nearly being eliminated in the group stage, they advanced all the way and reversed Nigeria 2-1 in the final to keep the championship trophy at home. Currently, Côte d'Ivoire is ranked 42nd in the world (5th in Africa), with a star-studded squad. Most of their core players play in the top five European leagues – Manchester United youngster Amad Diallo, Nottingham Forest pair Boly and Sangaré, Atalanta defender Odilon, etc., form the team's framework, with a total market value exceeding €200 million, and balanced strength at both ends of the pitch. In terms of recent form, Côte d'Ivoire has shown the stability of a defending champion: 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in 10 recent matches across all competitions, scoring 13 goals and conceding 3. Their home performance is particularly strong, winning all 10 recent home games while conceding only 3 goals, scoring 2.4 goals per game on average, with overwhelming home momentum.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 17 (Scored 15, Conceded 2); Win Rate: 60.00% (W6 D1 L2) | - | - |
| 2025/11/18International Friendly | Oman | 0-2 (HT 0-2 FT 0-2) | Côte d'Ivoire |
| 2025/11/15International Friendly | Saudi Arabia | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Côte d'Ivoire |
| 2025/10/15FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Côte d'Ivoire | 3-0 (HT 1-0 FT 3-0) | Kenya |
| 2025/10/10FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Seychelles | 0-7 (HT 0-4 FT 0-7) | Côte d'Ivoire |
| 2025/09/10FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Gabon | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Côte d'Ivoire |
| 2025/09/06FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Côte d'Ivoire | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Burundi |
| 2025/06/11International Friendly | Canada | 0-0 (Penalty kick 4-5; HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Côte d'Ivoire |
| 2025/06/08International Friendly | New Zealand | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Côte d'Ivoire |
| 2025/03/25FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Côte d'Ivoire | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Gambia |
| 2025/03/22FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Burundi | 0-1 (HT 0-1 FT 0-1) | Côte d'Ivoire |
Mozambique
Compared with Côte d'Ivoire's glory, Mozambique's Africa Cup resume is much dimmer. They have qualified for the main draw 4 times, but all ended in the group stage, failing to win a single Africa Cup main draw match so far, and have never reached the knockout stage. However, it is worth noting that the team has shown an upward trend in recent years, qualifying for the Africa Cup final stage for two consecutive editions. They finished second in the qualifying group with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, advancing together with Mali, showing certain resilience. Mozambique is currently ranked 101st in the world, a significant gap from Côte d'Ivoire. Their squad is dominated by domestic league players, with only a few playing in the secondary leagues of Europe, and a total market value of only €27.73 million, less than one-tenth of Côte d'Ivoire's. Core players include winger Catamo (playing for Sporting CP) and forward Quembo. In terms of recent form, Mozambique has been inconsistent: 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in 10 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 14. Their away record is 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average, with obvious defensive loopholes. They failed to win any of the 3 warm-up matches before the Africa Cup, losing to Morocco and Angola, and drawing with Chad, so their form is not ideal.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 26 (Scored 8, Conceded 18); Win Rate: 20.00% (W2 D2 L6) | - | - |
| 2025/12/18International Friendly | Angola | 4-1 (HT 1-0 FT 4-1) | Mozambique |
| 2025/11/17International Friendly | Chad | 2-2 (HT 0-2 FT 2-2) | Mozambique |
| 2025/11/15International Friendly | Morocco | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Mozambique |
| 2025/10/15FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Somalia | 0-1 (HT 0-1 FT 0-1) | Mozambique |
| 2025/10/10FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Mozambique | 1-2 (HT 1-1 FT 1-2) | Guinea |
| 2025/09/08FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Mozambique | 2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0) | Botswana |
| 2025/09/06FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Uganda | 4-0 (HT 0-0 FT 4-0) | Mozambique |
| 2025/06/11International Friendly | South Africa | 2-0 (HT 0-0 FT 2-0) | Mozambique |
| 2025/06/10CAF Confederations Cup | Mozambique | 1-3 (HT 1-2 FT 1-3) | Zimbabwe |
| 2025/06/07CAF Confederations Cup | Mozambique | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Mauritius |
Handicap Prediction:
Côte d'Ivoire -1.25 (Asian Handicap)
Côte d'Ivoire Win (European Odds)
Predicted Scores: 2-0, 3-1, 3-0
Predicted Total Goals: 2, 3, 4
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