Match: CONCACAF Gold Cup
Teams: USA vs Guatemala
Kick-off Time: July 2, 2025, 18:00 (Central Time, UTC-5)
Venue: Energizer Park, St. Louis, USA
Referee: Said Martínez (Honduras)
Assistant Referees: Edwin Montoya (Honduras) and José Cáceres (Honduras)
Team Strength Overview
USA:
1.Undefeated in 3 group stage matches, advancing to the semi-finals by defeating Costa Rica in the quarter-finals.
2.Excels in attack, scoring 10 goals in the last 4 matches, but defensive vulnerabilities emerged in the knockout stage—conceding 2 goals to Costa Rica and requiring extra time, potentially straining fitness reserves.
- Guatemala:
- 1.The tournament’s biggest underdog, eliminating title favorite Canada in the quarter-finals.
- 2.Outperformed Canada in possession rate and registered 6 more shots, riding a wave of momentum. However, like the USA, their defense has conceded frequently, facing a daunting challenge against the American attack.
- Handicap Prediction
- Asian Handicap: Guatemala +1.5
- European Odds: Home Win + Draw
- Expected Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1
- Betting Data Changes
- 1.Initial Asian odds: USA -1.75; European opening odds: 1.26-5.60-9.39, strongly favoring USA.
- 2.Current trend: Asian handicap shows waning support for USA, while European win odds for USA rise gradually. Punters show caution toward Guatemala after their upset performance against Canada, making a narrow USA victory or extra-time progression more plausible.
- Expected Goals: 1, 2, 3
- Betting Data Changes
- 1.Initial Asian over/under: 3.0 goals, reflecting confidence in USA’s offensive firepower.
- 2.However, skepticism grows due to Guatemala’s low-block defense and physical CONCACAF style, casting doubt on USA’s ability to dominate scoring.
- Expected Corner Kicks: Over 9.5
- Corner Analysis
- 1.USA employs a 4-3-3 formation, prioritizing possession and wide pressure.Guatemala may deploy a 5-4-1 low block, relying on forward Rubio Rubin’s pace for counters.
- 2.If USA struggles to break down Guatemala’s defense, set-pieces—especially corners—are likely to be key attacking avenues, predicting a high corner count.
