Match: Premier League – Newcastle United vs. Arsenal
Local Kick-off Time: 16:30, September 28
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Handicap Prediction:
Arsenal -0.25 (Asian Handicap)
Away Win (Arsenal) (European Odds)
Expected Scores: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2
Expected Goals: 1, 2, 3
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Newcastle United are enduring a difficult start to the new season – after 5 league games, the “Magpies” have only won 1 match (against bottom-side Wolves, who are still winless). Isak’s departure seems to have taken away the team’s clinical edge in front of goal; the squad has scored just 3 league goals so far, better only than Aston Villa (1 goal) among all 20 teams. In manager Eddie Howe’s words, the team is still “playing catch-up in terms of form” following Isak’s transfer. Midweek, Newcastle thrashed Bradford 4-1 in the EFL Cup, seemingly taking the first step towards a recovery. While Newcastle’s forwards are in poor form, their defense has remained solid – they have conceded just 3 goals in total and kept clean sheets in 3 consecutive league games.
Arsenal have found themselves in the role of chasers after just 5 league games – a position they are familiar with in recent seasons. In their last league match, Arsenal struggled to break down Manchester City, who abandoned their possession style for a counter-attacking approach. Without Martinelli’s brilliant chip in stoppage time to salvage a point, Guardiola (who recorded the lowest possession rate of his managerial career) would have left North London with all 3 points. The 1-1 draw satisfied neither side, with only Liverpool reaping the benefits. However, the brutality of the Premier League was evident this round – Liverpool’s away defeat to Crystal Palace has given teams behind them a chance to close the gap. Currently, Arsenal trail Liverpool by 5 points, meaning they cannot afford to drop points in their trip to the North East of England. Midweek, Arsenal eased past Port Vale 2-0 away in the EFL Cup, but criticism of Arteta’s negative tactics and conservative lineup has inevitably emerged.
