Italian Super Cup Supercup:Napoli vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips

Match: Coppa Italia Supercoppa (Italian Super Cup)
Fixture: Napoli vs Bologna

Local Kick-off Time: December 22nd, 22:00

Click here to watch the match LIVE now! 🔴 ▶

Click here to watch the match LIVE now! 🔴 ▶

Opening Odds

Summary:Bologna Win Or Draw in 90min

In their last 10 head-to-head encounters, Napoli hold the advantage with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, but Bologna secured a 2-0 home win over Napoli in the first Serie A meeting of the season. This unconventional showdown, born out of the unexpected elimination of the Milan duo (AC Milan and Inter Milan), also indirectly prompted the Serie A League president to announce that the 2026 Supercoppa will leave Saudi Arabia, ending the six-year partnership between the two parties. The Asian Handicap initially opened at Napoli -0.25, clearly reflecting that this match is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Napoli only holding an advantage in squad depth. Given their impressive performance in the semifinals against Inter Milan, it can be believed that Bologna is in good enough form to compete for the championship.For this match, Bologna can be trusted to avoid defeat at the neutral venue.

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Napoli

As the defending Serie A champions from last season, Napoli have recorded 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the league this season, sitting third in the standings—only 2 points adrift of the top spot—still retaining title-contending competitiveness! In the Coppa Italia semi-finals, the team eliminated defending champions AC Milan 2-0 through efficient counter-attacks, reaching the final for the sixth time in club history and demonstrating dominance in the competition. AC Milan’s hopes of defending their title were dashed by goalkeeper Mike Maignan’s costly blunders and a toothless attack. Notably, Danish striker Rasmus Højlund, on loan from Manchester United, has contributed 7 goals and 3 assists in his last 18 appearances, and was the match-winner with two goal involvements in the semi-final. His physical advantage (standing at 1.91 meters) has become a lethal weapon to breach opposing defenses. However, Napoli have secured 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 matches, conceding an average of 0.83 goals per game defensively. The team has been plagued by an away curse this season—all four of their Serie A defeats have come away from home. Competing at a neutral venue in Saudi Arabia this time may serve as a turning point to break this slump.

Bologna

As the Coppa Italia champions from last season, Bologna have also put in an impressive league performance this season, currently ranking sixth with 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, still in with a chance to challenge for a Champions League spot! In the previous Supercoppa semi-final, the team eliminated Inter Milan 4-3 on penalties after a 1-1 draw in regular time (Thuram’s early strike, Orsolini’s penalty equalizer), reaching the final of the competition for the first time in club history! Bologna has repeatedly overcome strong opponents through high pressing and set-piece tactics (which account for 30% of their goals). Mattia Orsolini has contributed 13 goals and 8 assists this season and displayed exceptional mental toughness in the penalty shootout. Meanwhile, the team boasts giant-killer status, recording 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last six encounters against Inter Milan, including a 1-0 late win over them in this season’s Serie A, showing great resilience against top sides. However, it should be noted that although the goalkeeper set a tournament record for save percentage in the penalty shootout, key players are fatigued due to multi-competition commitments (the team suffered a 1-0 defeat to Cremonese when rotating the squad in the league), and the club lacks sufficient bench depth.

Handicap Prediction:

Napoli -0.25 (Asian Handicap)

Napoli Win (European Handicap)

Predicted Scores: 0-0, 0-1, 1-1 (90-minute results)

Predicted Total Goals: 0, 1, 2