Match: English Premier League
Fixture: Manchester United vs Newcastle
Local Kick-off Time: 8:00pm, Friday 26th December 2025
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Opening Odds
| Category | Item | Corresponding Odds |
|---|---|---|
1X2 | 1 | 2.4 |
| X | 3.6 | |
| 2 | 2.63 |
Prediction: Draw or Newcastle Wins
Both clubs are underachieving at present. Manchester United continue to try and become a side that can challenge for the title but they remain inconsistent and concede far too many goals to achieve that. They also have to cope with the loss of Bruno Fernandes.
Newcastle United are also struggling to get into the European qualification places and their away form needs significant improvement. They do have a good record against Manchester United but struggle to keep clean sheets. Our main Manchester United v Newcastle predicton is Draw or Newcastle Wins.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Manchester United
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Aston Villa | 2:1 | Manchester United |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Manchester United | 4:4 | Bournemouth |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Wolves | 1:4 | Manchester United |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Manchester United | 1:1 | West Ham |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Premier League | Crystal Palace | 1:2 | Manchester United |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Premier League | Manchester United | 0:1 | Everton |
Only one of their last four league games has been won by Manchester United. Their most recent game in the Premier League saw them beaten 2-1 at Aston Villa. That followed a dramatic 4-4 home draw with Bournemouth. A game that further exposed the defensive problems they have.
The Red Devils have conceded 28 league goals this season. That's two more than the combined total conceded by Arsenal and Manchester City. Nine of their last ten league fixtures have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
Home form has produced four league victories this season with a couple of defeats, most recently to Everton. Their form against Newcastle does not make for good reading with five of the last six games against them being lost.
Bruno Fernandes has been such an important player for Manchester United in recent seasons. He was injured in the 2-1 away loss at Aston Villa last Sunday and is expected to be out for six games.
In the Premier League, he's scored five goals for United but even more importantly, he's made seven assists. His absence will greatly affect the Reds and he's not the only absentee over the festive period for United.
Their top league scorer is Bryan Mbuemo and along with Amad Diallo and Noussair Mazraoui, he's playing in AFCON. Also out at present are Harry Maguire, Matthijs de Ligt and Kobbie Mainoo. Better news is the return to fitness of Lisandro Martinez.
Newcastle
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Newcastle | 2:2 | Chelsea |
| 18 Dec 2025 | Carabao Cup | Newcastle | 2:1 | Fulham |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Sunderland | 1:0 | Newcastle |
| 11 Dec 2025 | Champions League | Bayer Leverkusen | 2:2 | Newcastle |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Newcastle | 2:1 | Burnley |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Newcastle | 2:2 | Tottenham |
Newcastle United can go ahead of United if they win this match by a two-goal margin. The Magpies are six points behind the top five and it's their away form that is the reason for that gap. Only one of their eight away league fixtures has been won this season, a 4-1 win at Everton. Four of their last five away league matches have ended in defeat. Six of their last seven on the road have seen both teams score.
Can Newcastle take advantage of United's problems? They do need to start winning away games and keeping leads once they get them. At least Woltemade managed to work out which net to score in with two goals against Chelsea after the own goal at Sunderland.
The Magpies have their own problems though with Kieran Trippier, Dan Burn and Tino Livramento all ruled out. Nick Pope and Sven Botman are fit again and United could do with them to cut down the number of goals being conceded.
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Newcastle +0/0.5
European Handicap: Draw or Newcastle Wins
Predicted Scores: 1-1, 1-2. 2-2
Predicted Total Goals: 2, 3, 4
This content provides sports news and analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
