Match: Africa Cup of Nations
Fixture: Uganda vs Tanzania
Local Kick-off Time: December 27, 18:30
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Opening Odds
| Category | Option | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 2.20 |
| X | 3.20 | |
| 2 | 3.40 | |
| Asian Handicap | -0/0.5 | 1.87 |
| +0/0.5 | 1.92 | |
| Scored | Goals Threshold: 2 | - |
| Over (2) | 1.85 | |
| Under (2) | 1.95 | |
| Corners | Corners Threshold: 9.5 | - |
| Over (9.5) | 2.10 | |
| Under (9.5) | 1.66 |
Summary: Uganda Win
Uganda’s main problem is the lack of finishing prowess in attack: although they can create offensive opportunities, their finishing efficiency is low. They have limited ways to break the deadlock against compact defense, overly relying on counter-attacks and set-pieces, with limited creativity in positional attacks. Tanzania’s main problem is still insufficient defensive stability: they have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 8 games, the defense is slow to turn around, and there are obvious disadvantages in aerial duels. They are prone to mistakes when facing high-pressure pressing; they have conceded 12 goals in 10 recent games, with prominent defensive loopholes. In terms of paper strength, Uganda has a certain advantage—their squad is complete and they have more tournament experience. In terms of the Asian Handicap, a draw line seems reasonable for these two teams competing for points to qualify. However, based on data analysis, this match is likely to have a decisive result. Tanzania’s recent record against teams ranked in the top 100 in the world is very poor, which shows that they only have the competitiveness to qualify for the Africa Cup final stage at present, and not much ability to be a dark horse. We can trust Uganda to get their first win in this tournament.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Uganda:
Uganda lost 1-3 to Tunisia in the first round of Group D, currently ranking 4th in the group with 0 points; they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games across competitions, with relatively balanced offensive and defensive performance. As a traditional East African powerhouse, the team has strong tournament adjustment ability and a strong desire to qualify. They focus on the 5-4-1 defensive counter-attack formation, with a well-organized defense—they have only conceded 7 goals in 10 recent games, keeping 5 clean sheets; their 15 tackles per game on average rank among the upper-middle level of African Cup teams. In the first round against Botswana, they only allowed the opponent 4 shots with zero on target.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 32 (Scored 16, Conceded 16); Win Rate: 40.00% (W4 D1 L4) | - | - |
| 2025/12/24CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Tunisia | 3-1 (HT 2-0 FT 3-1) | Uganda |
| 2025/12/14International Friendly | AS FAR Rabat | 2-2 (HT 1-1 FT 2-2) | Uganda |
| 2025/11/19International Friendly | Morocco | 4-0 (HT 2-0 FT 4-0) | Uganda |
| 2025/11/14International Friendly | Uganda | 2-1 (HT 1-0 FT 2-1) | Chad |
| 2025/10/15FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Algeria | 2-1 (HT 0-1 FT 2-1) | Uganda |
| 2025/10/10FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Botswana | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Uganda |
| 2025/09/09FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Uganda | 2-0 (HT 2-0 FT 2-0) | Somalia |
| 2025/09/06FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Uganda | 4-0 (HT 0-0 FT 4-0) | Mozambique |
| 2025/08/23CAF African Nations Championship | Uganda | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Senegal |
| 2025/08/19CAF African Nations Championship | South Africa | 3-3 (HT 0-1 FT 3-3) | Uganda |
Tanzania:
Tanzania lost 1-2 to Nigeria in the first round of Group D, currently ranking 3rd in the group with 0 points; they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 games across competitions, with poor offensive and defensive performance. This is only their second appearance in the Africa Cup final stage, so they have relatively little tournament experience, but the team has strong cohesion. If they fail to get points in this game, they will basically be out of contention for qualification, so their desire to grab points is strong. They adopt a 4-5-1 formation to focus on defense, relying on large-area midfield coverage and coordination to ensure defensive solidity. Counter-attack is their main scoring method—4 of their goals in the last 5 games came from counter-attacks; offensive core Mbombwa is in good form, contributing 6 goals and 2 assists this season. His goal against Nigeria in the first round showed strong finishing ability and off-the-ball movement, constantly posing threats to Nigeria.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 21 (Scored 8, Conceded 13); Win Rate: 20.00% (W2 D2 L6) | - | - |
| 2025/12/24CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Nigeria | 2-1 (HT 1-0 FT 2-1) | Tanzania |
| 2025/11/16International Friendly | Kuwait | 4-3 (HT 0-2 FT 4-3) | Tanzania |
| 2025/10/14International Friendly | Iran | 2-0 (HT 2-0 FT 2-0) | Tanzania |
| 2025/10/09FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Tanzania | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Zambia |
| 2025/09/09FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Tanzania | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Niger |
| 2025/09/06FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Republic of the Congo | 1-1 (HT 0-0 FT 1-1) | Tanzania |
| 2025/08/23CAF African Nations Championship | Tanzania | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Morocco |
| 2025/08/17CAF African Nations Championship | Central African Republic | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Tanzania |
| 2025/08/10CAF African Nations Championship | Tanzania | 2-1 (HT 2-1 FT 2-1) | Madagascar |
| 2025/08/07CAF African Nations Championship | Mauritania | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Tanzania |
Handicap Prediction:
Draw (Asian Handicap)
Uganda Win (European Handicap)
Predicted Scores:2-0,2-1,3-0
Predicted Total Goals:2,3,4
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