Match: CAF Africa Cup of Nations
Fixture: Mali VS Tunisia
Local Kick-off Time: 8:00pm, Wednesday 3rd January 2025
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Opening Odds
| Category | Item | Corresponding Odds |
|---|---|---|
1X2 | 1 | 3.10 |
| X | 2.80 | |
| 2 | 2.70 | |
Asian Handicap | 0 | 2.03 |
| 0 | 1.78 | |
Scored | Goals (1.5/2) - Over | 1.78 |
| Goals (1.5/2) - Under | 2.03 | |
Corners | Corners (8.5) - Over | 1.90 |
| Corners (8.5) - Under | 1.80 |
Prediction: Draw or Tunisia wins
These two teams actually met in the group stage of the previous edition of the African Cup of Nations. They played out to a 1-1 draw on that occasion and thereâs a decent chance we see a similar type of game in Casablanca.
A strong defensive side in Mali meets a strong attacking side in Tunisia. The underlying numbers suggest we are in for a tight match, as do the performances by both teams up to this point so far. Ultimately, we expect the two to cancel each other out. Our Mali vs Tunisia prediction: Draw or Tunisia wins.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Mali
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/12/30 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Comoros | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Mali |
| 2025/12/27 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Morocco | 1-1 (HT 1-0 FT 1-1) | Mali |
| 2025/12/22 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Mali | 1-1 (HT 0-0 FT 1-1) | Zambia |
| 2025/11/19 | International Friendly | Jordan | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Mali |
| 2025/10/13 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Mali | 4-1 (HT 2-0 FT 4-1) | Madagascar |
| 2025/10/09 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Chad | 0-2 (HT 0-1 FT 0-2) | Mali |
| 2025/09/09 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Ghana | 1-0 (HT 0-0 FT 1-0) | Mali |
| 2025/09/05 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Mali | 3-0 (HT 1-0 FT 3-0) | Comoros |
| 2025/06/06 | International Friendly | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Mali |
| 2025/03/25 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Central African Republic | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Mali |
Maliâs 1-1 draw with tournament favourites Morocco proved that the Eagles are a tough team to beat. However, they might count themselves somewhat lucky to have gotten away with a point in that match Morocco were wasteful with their chances.
Mali will feel they should have done better against Comoros and Zambia. They did, however, do a good job defensively against those sides, giving up a combined 0.76 xG.
During that same stretch, they ran out winners eight times, with the remaining eight ending in stalemates.
The Malian squad looks to be healthy heading in to this round of 16 clash and we arenât likely to see many changes by manager Tom Saintfiet.
Expect to see Tottenham midfielder Yves Bissouma taking up his position in midfield, with dangerous wingers Dorgeles Nene and Mamadou Sangare on the flanks. Substitute Amadou Haidara received a red card in his cameo appearance against Comoros and will be unavailable for selection here.
For Mali, their top performing player in the group stage has been striker Lassine Sinayoko, who put forward three solid performances, scoring twice. The Ligue 1 striker has been on fire lately and the Tunisia defence will have to keep a close eye on him if they are to advance to the next round.
Tunisia
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/12/31 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Tanzania | 1-1 (HT 0-1 FT 1-1) | Tunisia |
| 2025/12/28 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Nigeria | 3-2 (HT 1-0 FT 3-2) | Tunisia |
| 2025/12/24 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Tunisia | 3-1 (HT 2-0 FT 3-1) | Uganda |
| 2025/12/18 | International Friendly | Tunisia | 2-1 (HT 0-0 FT 2-1) | Botswana |
| 2025/12/08 | FIFA Arab Cup | Qatar | 0-3 (HT 0-1 FT 0-3) | Tunisia |
| 2025/12/04 | FIFA Arab Cup | Palestine | 2-2 (HT 0-1 FT 2-2) | Tunisia |
| 2025/12/01 | FIFA Arab Cup | Tunisia | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Syria |
| 2025/11/19 | International Friendly | Brazil | 1-1 (HT 1-1 FT 1-1) | Tunisia |
| 2025/11/15 | International Friendly | Tunisia | 3-2 (HT 1-1 FT 3-2) | Jordan |
| 2025/11/13 | International Friendly | Tunisia | 1-1 (HT 1-0 FT 1-1) | Mauritania |
As for Tunisia, theyâre back in the knockout stages after suffering a group stage exit in 2023. They cruised to a 3-1 opening win over Uganda before losing a 3-2 shootout with Nigeria. A 1-1 draw with Tanzania meant they went through in second, although it was a disappointing performance against a team that they should have handled quite easily.
Tunisiaâs defence hasnât been particularly impressive this tournament and has conceded in all three games so far. The Eagles of Carthage have won six of their last nine not including the Arab Cup, losing just once.
Tunisia also comes into this match with a clean bill of health. With no injuries or suspensions, manager Sami Trabelsi has a full squad to choose from.
There have been three players that have stood out for Tunisia in the group stage. Elias Achouri has been Tunisiaâs key attacking player so far, leading the team with two goals.
Theyâve also gotten a strong contribution from left back Ali Abdi, and Burnley midfielder Hannibal Mejbri. The former scored a goal and provided an assist while the latter has assisted twice in Tunisiaâs three group stage games.
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Tunisia -0
European Handicap: Draw or Tunisia wins
Predicted Scores: 2-0, 3-0, 3-1
Predicted Total Goals: 2, 3, 4
This content provides sports news and analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
