Match: CAF Africa Cup of Nations
Fixture: Equatorial Guinea VS Algeria
Local Kick-off Time: 5:00pm, Wednesday 31st December 2025
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Opening Odds
| Category | Item | Corresponding Odds |
|---|---|---|
1X2 | 1 | 10.00 |
| X | 5.00 | |
| 2 | 1.33 | |
Asian Handicap | +1/1.5 | 2.03 |
| -1/1.5 | 1.78 | |
Scored | Goals (2.5) - Over | 2.00 |
| Goals (2.5) - Under | 1.80 | |
Corners | Corners (8.5) - Over | 1.90 |
| Corners (8.5) - Under | 1.80 |
Prediction: Algeria wins
Equatorial Guinea have nothing to lose in this fixture, and neither does Algeria. There couldn’t be a better example of a dead rubber fixture. Algeria come here having already advanced to the knockout stage, while Equatorial Guinea have been eliminated.
Head-to-head, each has a win in their last three meetings, but Algeria will feel like the favorite, having avoided defeat in the last two. With progression secured, Algeria will feel the urge to rest players, but they still have a superior crop comparatively. History favors them as well. Our prediction for Equatorial Guinea v Algeria is that Algeria wins.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Equatorial Guinea
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/12/28 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Equatorial Guinea | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Sudan |
| 2025/12/24 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Burkina Faso | 2-1 (HT 0-0 FT 2-1) | Equatorial Guinea |
| 2025/11/17 | International Friendly | Equatorial Guinea | 0-2 (HT 0-2 FT 0-2) | Madagascar |
| 2025/11/14 | International Friendly | Kenya | 0-1 (HT 0-1 FT 0-1) | Equatorial Guinea |
| 2025/10/13 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Equatorial Guinea | 1-1 (HT 1-1 FT 1-1) | Liberia |
| 2025/10/10 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Malawi | 3-0 (HT 0-0 FT 3-0) | Equatorial Guinea |
| 2025/09/08 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Equatorial Guinea | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Tunisia |
| 2025/09/05 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Sao Tome Principe | 2-3 (HT 2-0 FT 2-3) | Equatorial Guinea |
| 2025/06/10 | International Friendly | Equatorial Guinea | 1-1 (HT 1-1 FT 1-1) | Cameroon |
| 2025/06/06 | International Friendly | Equatorial Guinea | 1-2 (HT 1-2 FT 1-2) | Gambia |
Equatorial Guinea progressed to the knockout phase in the last two AFCON editions. They were among the giant killers back then, but this time their luck has run out. In their opening two matches, conceding late goals has been their key undoing.
In the last round, they were holding off Sudan just fine until the shock arrived 16 minutes to time. Saul Coco scored an own goal that went on to be the difference in the 1-0 loss to the East African nation. That loss wasn’t as painful as their first, though.
Equatorial Guinea conceded twice after the 90th minute to see their 85th-minute lead canceled. These results have left Equatorial Guinea on three straight defeats.
Emilio Nsue, one of Equatorial Guinea’s best players across the last two AFCON editions, has been a bit part player in this one. The Spain-based forward has only featured from the bench in one of the team’s two matches.
In the 2-1 defeat to Burkina Faso, he was an unused sub, and against Sudan, he came on for the closing 14 minutes. As such, he hasn’t had an impact as he did last time out, but he will be expected to start in this dead-rubber affair.
At 36, this could be his final major tournament with Equatorial Guinea, and he’d want to leave on a high.
Algeria
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/12/29 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Algeria | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Burkina Faso |
| 2025/12/24 | CAF Africa Cup of Nations | Algeria | 3-0 (HT 1-0 FT 3-0) | Sudan |
| 2025/12/13 | FIFA Arab Cup | Algeria | 1-1 (Penalty kick 6-7 HT 0-0 FT 1-1) | United Arab Emirates |
| 2025/12/10 | FIFA Arab Cup | Algeria | 2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0) | Iraq |
| 2025/12/06 | FIFA Arab Cup | Bahrain | 1-5 (HT 1-3 FT 1-5) | Algeria |
| 2025/12/03 | FIFA Arab Cup | Algeria | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Sudan |
| 2025/11/19 | International Friendly | Saudi Arabia | 0-2 (HT 0-0 FT 0-2) | Algeria |
| 2025/11/14 | International Friendly | Algeria | 3-1 (HT 3-0 FT 3-1) | Zimbabwe |
| 2025/10/15 | FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF) | Algeria | 2-1 (HT 0-1 FT 2-1) | Uganda |
| 2025/10/14 | International Friendly | Algeria | 0-1 (HT 0-1 FT 0-1) | Palestine |
Algeria have had a blistering start to the 2025 edition and are really keen on going for a third African title. In their opening match they beat Sudan 3-0 before seeing off Burkina Faso 1-0 in their latest outing.
That win over Burkinabe saw Algeria record an 18-game unbeaten run inside 90 minutes. In the last two AFCON editions, they exited at the group stages, one of them when playing as defending champions.
This time they did their homework well and stand out as one of the favorites, having equaled the total goals they scored in the last two editions.
Algeria have the comfort of resting their key players after their second win secured a knockout spot. The North Africans have benefitted a lot from Riyad Mahrez’s experience.
The forward, playing in his sixth AFCON tournament, has already scored three times in the opening two matches. Mahrez has now scored four times in his last three international appearances for Algeria.
Here he has the chance to atone for the missed penalty against Equatorial Guinea in their September 2024 meeting. Algeria won the match 2-0 anyway.
Final Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Algeria -1/1.5
European Handicap: Algeria wins
Predicted Scores: 0-2, 1-2, 1-3
Predicted Total Goals: 2, 3, 4
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