Match: UEFA Champions League
Fixture: Villarreal vs Copenhagen
Local Kick-off Time: December 10th, 18:45
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Opening Odds
| Category | Details | Value |
|---|---|---|
Opening Odds | 1 | 1.65 |
| X | 4.00 | |
| 2 | 5.00 | |
Asian Handicap | -1 | 1.95 |
| +1 | 1.90 | |
Scored | Goals | 2.5/3 |
| Over | 1.90 | |
| Under | 1.95 | |
Corners | Corners | 9.5 |
| Over | 2.00 | |
| Under | 1.72 |
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Villarreal
Villarreal have been in sensational form in La Liga this season, claiming 35 points from 15 matches to sit 3rd in the league—just 1 point behind 2nd-placed Real Madrid and 5 points adrift of leaders Barcelona (with a game in hand). However, Marcelino’s side have failed to translate their domestic dominance to the Champions League, with a dismal record of 1 point from 5 matches leaving them 34th in the overall Champions League standings. The Yellow Submarine are still 5 points away from 24th-placed Pafos, which would secure a spot in the play-off zone; securing all three points in this fixture is crucial for their hopes of fighting for knockout qualification. This season in the Champions League, Villarreal have lost consecutively to Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City, Pafos, and Borussia Dortmund, with their only point coming from a home draw against Juventus. A failure to win here would be a major blow ahead of their January fixtures against Ajax and Bayer Leverkusen—creating a stark contrast to their strong La Liga performances. Key center-back Juan Foyth is suspended after being sent off in the previous Champions League match, while Logan Costa, Kandava, and Paul Cabanès are sidelined through injury. Thomas Partey, Gerard Moreno, and Santiago Muñoz missed the last league match due to fitness issues and are doubts for this game.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 29 (Scored 21, Conceded 8); Win Rate 70.00% (W7 D1 L2) | - | - |
| 2025/12/06La Liga | Villarreal CF | 2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0) | Getafe |
| 2025/12/04Copa del Rey | CA Antoniano | 3-1 (Penalty kick 1-5; HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Villarreal CF |
| 2025/11/30La Liga | Real Sociedad | 2-3 (HT 0-1 FT 2-3) | Villarreal CF |
| 2025/11/26UEFA Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 4-0 (HT 1-0 FT 4-0) | Villarreal CF |
| 2025/11/23La Liga | Villarreal CF | 2-1 (HT 1-1 FT 2-1) | RCD Mallorca |
| 2025/11/09La Liga | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 0-2 (HT 0-1 FT 0-2) | Villarreal CF |
| 2025/11/06UEFA Champions League | Pafos FC | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 1-0) | Villarreal CF |
| 2025/11/01La Liga | Villarreal CF | 4-0 (HT 1-0 FT 4-0) | Rayo Vallecano |
| 2025/10/30Copa del Rey | Lucena CF | 0-6 (HT 0-2 FT 0-6) | Villarreal CF |
| 2025/10/26La Liga | Valencia CF | 0-2 (HT 0-1 FT 0-2) | Villarreal CF |
Copenhagen
For Copenhagen, they have posted a solid domestic record this season: 4 wins and 1 loss in 5 home league matches, and an undefeated 5 wins from 5 away league matches, with a balanced attack and defense. Their Champions League away form, however, has been weak—1 draw and 2 losses, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game. A turning point came in their previous match, a narrow 3-2 victory over Almaty Karagandy, which secured their first Champions League win of the season and boosted morale. If they want to keep their chances of qualifying for the play-offs alive, securing points in this away fixture will be crucial. In terms of the squad, Lucas Lerager is suspended after picking up his third yellow card against Karagandy; Pantelis Hatzidiakos and Max López will miss the next match against Napoli if they receive another yellow card. Rodrigo Veskus, Magnus Mattson, and Oliver Højer are out injured. Copenhagen’s biggest threat will come from set-piece tactics, but midfield depletion may leave their defense under excessive pressure, forcing them to withstand high-intensity pressing away from home.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 32 (Scored 15, Conceded 17); Win Rate 50.00% (W5 D1 L4) | - | - |
| 2025/12/08Danish Superliga | FC Copenhagen | 0-2 (HT 0-2 FT 0-2) | Sonderjyske |
| 2025/12/04Danish Cup | Esbjerg | 2-4 (HT 1-3 FT 2-4) | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025/11/30Danish Superliga | Aarhus AGF | 2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0) | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025/11/27UEFA Champions League | FC Copenhagen | 3-2 (HT 1-0 FT 3-2) | FC Kairat Almaty |
| 2025/11/23Danish Superliga | FC Copenhagen | 1-0 (HT 0-0 FT 1-0) | Brondby IF |
| 2025/11/09Danish Superliga | Vejle | 2-0 (HT 0-0 FT 2-0) | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025/11/05UEFA Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 4-0 (HT 1-0 FT 4-0) | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025/11/02Danish Superliga | FC Copenhagen | 3-2 (HT 1-0 FT 3-2) | Fredericia |
| 2025/10/30Danish Cup | Hobro | 1-4 (HT 0-1 FT 1-4) | FC Copenhagen |
| 2025/10/27Danish Superliga | FC Copenhagen | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Viborg |
Summary:
Villarreal boast an impressive 5-win-1-draw record in European competitions at the Estadio de la Cerámica (their home ground) last season, giving them a significant psychological edge. As a La Liga top-three side facing a Danish Superliga team, Villarreal are superior on paper. Both teams have key absentees, but Copenhagen’s midfield crisis is more severe, making it difficult for them to sustain resistance against Villarreal’s possession-based pressure. If Copenhagen seize a set-piece opportunity to force a 1-1 draw, both teams will be eliminated (“double elimination”), a scenario Villarreal will be desperate to avoid. Therefore, Villarreal can be trusted to defeat Copenhagen at home.
Handicap Prediction:
Villarreal -1.25 (Asian Handicap)
Home Win (European Handicap)
Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-1, 2-0
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
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