Match: Allsvenskan
Fixture: Göteborg vs. Degerfors
Local kick-off time: 19:00 on August 4
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Handicap prediction:
Göteborg -0.75 (Asian Handicap)
Home win (European Odds)
Predicted scores: 2-1, 3-1, 3-2
Predicted total goals: 3, 4, 5
Comprehensive analysis:
Göteborg currently hold a record of 8 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses, ranking 8th in the Allsvenskan—largely positioned in the mid-table. Their chances of challenging for a European qualification spot are slim. At home, they have registered 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses this season, with a less-than-ideal performance that places them 10th in the league’s home rankings, lacking strong home momentum. In their last match, Göteborg suffered another defeat away to Elfsborg, losing 3-4. Over their last 6 games, they have only managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, showing inconsistent form with a clear lack of consistent points-gathering ability.In their away fixture against Elfsborg last round, Göteborg held 42% possession, took 10 shots with 5 on target. Despite goals from Heintz, Fong and Alioum, they couldn’t avoid a comeback defeat, eventually losing 3-4. Additionally, Göteborg’s home form this season has been inferior to their away performance: across 8 league home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, ranking 10th in home standings.
Degerfors, meanwhile, have a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses, sitting 13th in the league—only 1 point above the relegation zone, facing significant pressure to avoid relegation. They are relatively stronger on the road, with 3 wins and 5 losses from away games, ranking 12th in away standings. In their last match, they drew at home to Norrköping, ending a dismal run of 7 consecutive defeats and regaining some confidence. However, Degerfors’ recent form remains poor, having gone 8 games without a win.In their home fixture against Norrköping last round, Degerfors dominated with 57% possession and 21 shots (4 on target)—more than four times the number of shots taken by their opponents. Neither side managed to score, resulting in a 0-0 draw. Furthermore, Degerfors’ away form this season is slightly better than their home form: from 8 league away games, they have 3 wins and 5 losses, ranking 13th in away standings.
Summary:
Initial Asian Handicap odds from major institutions offered Göteborg a -0.75 advantage with high initial odds, showing reasonable support for the home side. Subsequent adjustments saw the handicap remain at -0.75 with odds lowered to medium-low levels, reflecting strengthened support for Göteborg from bookmakers. Considering both teams’ recent form, Göteborg have shown signs of recovery. In this round of fixtures, Göteborg can be expected to deliver a solid performance.
