Match: La Liga
Teams: Atlético Madrid VS Rayo Vallecano
Local Kick-off Time: 21:30 on September 24
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Handicap Prediction:
Atlético Madrid -1 (Asian Handicap)
Home Win (European Odds)
Predicted Scores: 3-0, 3-1, 4-1
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Diego Simeone's team has had a disappointing start to the new season, with only 6 points from 5 rounds. Although they won their first victory with a 2-0 home win over Villarreal, they have lost to Espanyol and drawn with Elche, Alavés and Mallorca in succession (being held to a 1-1 draw by the opponent in stoppage time last weekend). They also lost 2-3 to Liverpool in their first Champions League game, facing difficulties in both competitions. The team is currently only 2 points ahead of the relegation zone, setting the worst start in recent years. The attack led by Antoine Griezmann is inefficient (scoring 5 goals in 5 rounds), while the defense has lost its former solidity (conceding in 4 consecutive games). Although they have an absolute advantage in historical head-to-head records (only losing 9 times in 49 encounters), their last home game against Rayo Vallecano ended in a 1-1 draw.
Rayo Vallecano, who finished 8th last season, had a slow start to the new season, with 5 points from 5 rounds, ranking 14th. Although they defeated Girona 3-1 in the first round, they only managed 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 4 rounds (drawing with Barcelona and Celta Vigo, losing to Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna). Coach Iñigo Pérez's team successfully qualified for the Europa Conference League group stage, but their league performance has not met expectations. The team has not defeated Atlético Madrid since 2013, and their last away victory dates back to the 2001 Copa del Rey. However, their performance of a 0-0 away draw against Atlético last season may provide confidence for this game.
Summary:
The historical head-to-head records are completely in favor of Atlético Madrid. In the last 18 encounters, Atlético has achieved 14 wins and 4 draws, remaining undefeated. They have won 11 and drawn 1 in their last 12 home games against Rayo Vallecano. Last season at home, Atlético won 3-0, and even had a 7-0 thrashing in 2023, having an obvious psychological advantage. In terms of Asian Handicap, the institutions currently offer Atlético Madrid a -1 handicap, which shows that although they have been in poor form at the beginning of this season, as a La Liga giant, the betting institutions still hope that they can play a brilliant comeback in this game. Overall, with the support of the handicap and popularity, it is advisable to expect Atlético Madrid to win a big victory at home.
