Match: FIFA Intercontinental Cup
Fixture: Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) vs Flamengo
Local Kick-off Time: December 17th, 19:00
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Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Paris Saint-Germain:
This match holds immense significance for PSG. Having already claimed five trophies in 2025 (Trophée des Champions, Ligue 1, Coupe de France, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Super Cup), a victory here would secure a historic six-trophy haul in a single year—an unprecedented feat in the club’s history. Key players such as captain Marquinhos have expressed their desire for the title pre-match. To prepare for this final, PSG made significant rotations for core players like Vitinha and Ousmane Dembélé in their previous Ligue 1 match, indicating the team has shifted all tactical focus to this fixture. The team’s injury concerns have been greatly alleviated: Elisha Mayulu, Dembélé, and Marquinhos have all returned from injury and are likely to feature in the starting lineup. Currently, only defender Achraf Hakimi is sidelined with an ankle injury. A full-strength squad provides greater security for PSG’s offensive and defensive system—for example, Dembélé’s wing penetration and Vitinha’s midfield orchestration are crucial attacking weapons.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 33 (Scored 22, Conceded 11); Win Rate: 60.00% (W6 D2 L2) | - | - |
| 2025/12/14Ligue 1 | Metz | 2-3 (HT 1-2 FT 2-3) | Paris Saint Germain |
| 2025/12/11UEFA Champions League | Athletic Club | 0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0) | Paris Saint Germain |
| 2025/12/07Ligue 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 5-0 (HT 2-0 FT 5-0) | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2025/11/30Ligue 1 | AS Monaco | 1-0 (HT 0-0 FT 1-0) | Paris Saint Germain |
| 2025/11/27UEFA Champions League | Paris Saint Germain | 5-3 (HT 1-1 FT 5-3) | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025/11/23Ligue 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3-0 (HT 1-0 FT 3-0) | Havre Athletic Club |
| 2025/11/10Ligue 1 | Lyon | 2-3 (HT 1-2 FT 2-3) | Paris Saint Germain |
| 2025/11/05UEFA Champions League | Paris Saint Germain | 1-2 (HT 0-2 FT 1-2) | FC Bayern Munich |
| 2025/11/02Ligue 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1-0 (HT 0-0 FT 1-0) | OGC Nice |
| 2025/10/30Ligue 1 | Lorient | 1-1 (HT 0-1 FT 1-1) | Paris Saint Germain |
Flamengo:
As double champions of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A and Copa Libertadores, Flamengo also aim to win this match to secure a treble and cap off a perfect season. However, affected by the congested Brasileirão schedule, the team has fielded a full-strength lineup in consecutive high-intensity matches. Compared to PSG, who have rotated, Flamengo face a clear disadvantage in fitness reserves, which may impact their performance in the latter stages of the game. Despite no new injuries and being able to field their strongest lineup, the return of three key players including Pedro and Jorginho is of great significance for Flamengo in this match.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 32 (Scored 22, Conceded 10); Win Rate: 70.00% (W7 D2 L1) | - | - |
| 2025/12/14FIFA Intercontinental Cup | CR Flamengo | 2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0) | Pyramids FC |
| 2025/12/11FIFA Intercontinental Cup | Cruz Azul | 1-2 (HT 1-1 FT 1-2) | CR Flamengo |
| 2025/12/07Brazilian Serie A | Mirassol | 3-3 (HT 2-2 FT 3-3) | CR Flamengo |
| 2025/12/04Brazilian Serie A | CR Flamengo | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Ceara |
| 2025/11/30CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | CR Flamengo |
| 2025/11/26Brazilian Serie A | Atletico Mineiro | 1-1 (HT 1-0 FT 1-1) | CR Flamengo |
| 2025/11/23Brazilian Serie A | CR Flamengo | 3-0 (HT 0-0 FT 3-0) | Red Bull Bragantino |
| 2025/11/20Brazilian Serie A | Fluminense RJ | 2-1 (HT 2-0 FT 2-1) | CR Flamengo |
| 2025/11/16Brazilian Serie A | Sport Club do Recife | 1-5 (HT 1-1 FT 1-5) | CR Flamengo |
| 2025/11/10Brazilian Serie A | CR Flamengo | 3-2 (HT 1-0 FT 3-2) | Santos |
Summary:
PSG employs a 4-3-3 possession-based penetration tactic, boasting an average possession rate of 68%. They will rely on Vitinha’s midfield control to dictate the tempo and breach the opponent’s defense through wing penetration. Flamengo, on the other hand, operates a 4-2-3-1 defensive counter-attack system, relying on the lateral sweeping of their double defensive midfielders and rapid counter-attacks to create threats. Additionally, set-pieces account for 30% of Flamengo’s goals, which will be an important scoring method against PSG. The Asian Handicap has opened at Paris Saint-Germain -0.75, a strong show of confidence in PSG for an intercontinental fixture. Combined with the significance of this match for PSG, who have recovered from an injury crisis, more confidence can be placed in PSG to win in Qatar and be crowned six-time champions.
Opening Odds
| Category | Option | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1 | 1.66 |
| X | 3.40 | |
| 2 | 5.25 | |
| Asian Handicap | -0.5/1 | 1.87 |
| +0.5/1 | 1.92 | |
| Scored | Goals Threshold: 2.5 | - |
| Over (2.5) | 1.82 | |
| Under (2.5) | 1.97 | |
| Corners | Corners Threshold: 9.5 | - |
| Over (9.5) | 1.72 | |
| Under (9.5) | 2.00 |
Handicap Prediction:
Paris Saint-Germain -0.75 (Asian Handicap)
Away Win (European Handicap)
Predicted Scores: 2-1, 3-1, 3-2
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
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