Match: EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Fixture: South Korea VS Hong Kong (Neutral Venue)
Local Kick-off Time: 20:00 on July 11, 2025 (Korean local time)
Venue: Yongin Dragon Stadium in Yongin-si, Gyeonggi-do, South Korea
Team Strength Overview
Hong Kong, China are in a dire situation. They suffered a heavy 1-6 defeat to Japan in their first match, with less than 30% possession, and their defense completely collapsed. Previously, they also lost 0-4 to India in a friendly, showing no bright spots in both attack and defense. Now, key center-back Eliott is likely to miss out due to injury, leaving them with a young center-back pairing of 22-year-old Liang Nuoheng and 21-year-old Feng Qingye—their lack of experience could be a fatal weakness.
South Korea won 3-0 against the Chinese men's national team in their first match, with 56% possession and high attacking efficiency. They also recently beat Chile and Egypt in friendlies, with their forward line in excellent form. Although they did not call up European-based players like Son Heung-min, their attack led by Kim Bo-kyung and Moon Seon-min is strong, and the defense, featuring Asian Cup mainstays like Kim Young-gwon, is fully fit.
Handicap Prediction
South Korea -3.5 (Asian Handicap)
Predicted scores: 5-0, 5-1, 6-1
Changes in Betting Data
Currently, major Asian bookmakers have initially set the Asian Handicap at South Korea -3.5, with no support for Hong Kong, who lost 1-6 to Japan in their last match. Given the huge gap in strength, even though South Korea did not call up their main players for this EAFF Championship, as the host, they will not underestimate any opponent, especially a weaker one. The data is currently stable, with most bettors supporting South Korea. Subsequent data may see a significant drop in South Korea's odds or a handicap increase, and it is unlikely that South Korea will fail to beat Hong Kong by more than 4 goals.
Predicted Total Goals: 5, 6, 7
Changes in Betting Data
Currently, major Asian bookmakers have initially set the total goals line at 4.25 for this match. After South Korea's 3-0 win over China in their last match, their attack is certainly more trustworthy against a weaker opponent like Hong Kong. The odds for the over have now dropped to low returns, and subsequent changes to the line may see an increase, expected to rise to 4.5 or 4.75. The total number of goals in this match will not be less than 5.
