Match 1: Brazilian Cup-Fluminense VS Bahia
Local Kick-off Time: 09-10 19:00
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Click here to watch the match LIVE now! 🔴 ▶
Handicap Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Fluminense -0.5
European Odds: Home Win
Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis
In the intense first-leg showdown, Fluminense suffered a narrow defeat, leaving them trailing in the aggregate score across the two legs. Looking back at the first-leg proceedings, the two teams fought closely. Fluminense posed a strong threat with their set-piece cross tactics; in the first half, they even came close to breaking the opponent’s goal with an exquisite header relay, only to have the goal disallowed for offside. Later, the referee reviewed the play via VAR and also waved off a potential penalty claim for Fluminense, ultimately allowing Bahia to take a 1-goal lead. After the first leg, Fluminense gave their players a four-day break to recuperate and build up strength for the decisive second leg. Additionally, the team’s winger Soteldo has been in consistent form, which has boosted the team’s confidence in staging a comeback at home.
Turning to Bahia: After defeating Fluminense in the first leg, they suffered a heavy loss in the Brasileirão (Brazilian Serie A), dealing a blow to their morale. However, they showed dominant strength in the final of the Copa do Nordeste (Northeast Brazil Cup), scoring 9 goals across two legs to lift the trophy with an overwhelming advantage. Although the opponents in the Copa do Nordeste were relatively weak, Bahia still fielded key players such as goalkeeper Ronaldo, right-back Gilberto, and midfielder Rezende to secure the title. The consecutive fixture schedule (playing in multiple competitions) has undoubtedly taken a significant toll on the players' physical fitness and energy. In this match, Bahia faces several unfavorable factors: Jean Lucas, their midfielder who was called up to the Brazil national team, is highly likely to be unable to return in time for the game; Colombian right-back Santiago Arias is also on international duty and unavailable for the team. Furthermore, two key midfielders (Kaio and Éric), key winger Ademir, and key center-back Canu are all sidelined due to injuries—this will undoubtedly significantly weaken Bahia’s squad strength.
Conclusion
Fluminense’s 10 days of rest over the past period came at the right time, allowing their players to fully recover their physical fitness. Moreover, during the international break, Fluminense was relatively less affected by player absences or injuries. In contrast, Bahia has numerous key players sidelined by injuries, and coupled with the impact of consecutive matches in the Copa do Nordeste, the team’s overall form and competitiveness have been affected. In historical head-to-head matches, the home side (Fluminense) has a clear advantage with 7 wins and 3 draws. The handicap for this match is reasonable and reflects high expectations for Fluminense. Therefore, in this second-leg showdown, Fluminense has a higher chance of winning and reversing the aggregate score.
Match 2: Brazilian Cup-Corinthians VS Athletico Paranaense
Local Kick-off Time: 09-10 21:30
Click here to watch the match LIVE now! 🔴 ▶
Click here to watch the match LIVE now! 🔴 ▶
Handicap Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Corinthians -0.5
European Odds: Home Win
Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis
Corinthians is a mid-table team in the Brasileirão (Brazilian Serie A). They finished 7th last season and currently rank 12th this season. The team’s head coach is Júnior, a former Brazil national team manager. Corinthians often employs a 4-4-2 formation, with the striking partnership of Depay and Alberto posing a significant threat. However, Alberto has been sidelined due to injury since the 19th round of the Brasileirão, so the attacking line for this match will likely feature a combination of Magno and Depay, or alternatively, a single-striker setup with an extra midfielder (as seen in the first leg). In the Brasileirão this season, they have scored 22 goals and conceded 27; while they concede many goals away, their home performance is strong—conceding an average of just one goal per game, which ranks among the top in the league.
Athletico Paranaense was relegated from the Brasileirão last season and currently has a market value of around €30 million. After relegation, several key players left the team, including Carlo, Cristian, and Kulo, leading to a decline in strength. Currently competing in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie B (Brazilian Second Division), they rank 8th with 34 goals scored and 34 conceded. The team has shown little difference in performance between home and away games this season, delivering a mediocre overall display. However, their defense has been subpar in the last five away matches, conceding an average of nearly two goals per game.
