Match: UEFA Europa League
Fixture: Porto vs Malmö FF
Local Kick-off Time: December 11th, 20:00
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| Category | Details | Value |
|---|---|---|
Opening Odds | 1 | 1.22 |
| X | 5.50 | |
| 2 | 11.00 | |
Asian Handicap | -1.5/2 | 1.93 |
| +1.5/2 | 1.93 | |
Scored | Goals | 2.5/3 |
| Over | 1.83 | |
| Under | 2.03 | |
Corners | Corners | 9.5 |
| Over | 1.72 | |
| Under | 2.00 |
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Porto:
Porto have delivered an excellent Europa League campaign this season, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in five matches; a victory in this fixture will greatly boost their chances of direct qualification. Porto have an impressive home record in their last 10 official matches: 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. They have conceded fewer than 1 goal per game across these 10 matches, including 5 clean sheets. In terms of squad, defenders Nahuel Pérez and Luuk de Jong are unlikely to be included in the matchday squad, which will significantly impact Porto’s defensive stability and attacking versatility.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 24 (Scored 16, Conceded 8); Win Rate 70.00% (W7 D1 L2) | - | - |
| 2025/12/08Primeira Liga | CD Tondela | 0-2 (HT 0-2 FT 0-2) | FC Porto |
| 2025/12/05Portuguese League Cup | FC Porto | 1-3 (HT 1-1 FT 1-3) | Vitoria Guimaraes |
| 2025/12/01Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-0 (HT 1-0 FT 1-0) | Estoril |
| 2025/11/28UEFA Europa League | FC Porto | 3-0 (HT 2-0 FT 3-0) | OGC Nice |
| 2025/11/23Portuguese Cup | FC Porto | 3-0 (HT 1-0 FT 3-0) | Sintrense |
| 2025/11/10Primeira Liga | FC Famalicao | 0-1 (HT 0-1 FT 0-1) | FC Porto |
| 2025/11/07UEFA Europa League | FC Utrecht | 1-1 (HT 0-0 FT 1-1) | FC Porto |
| 2025/11/03Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 2-1 (HT 1-0 FT 2-1) | Sporting Braga |
| 2025/10/28Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 1-2 (HT 1-1 FT 1-2) | FC Porto |
| 2025/10/24UEFA Europa League | Nottingham Forest | 2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0) | FC Porto |
Malmö FF:
Malmö FF have shown strong form in their domestic league, securing 29 wins in 36 Allsvenskan matches. However, their performance in European competitions has been poor: over the past five years, they have won just 1 European match, drawn 6, and lost 9. Their style of play is relatively direct, relying on quick transitions and cross deliveries from the flanks, but they struggle when facing high-intensity pressing. Traveling to Portugal, Malmö’s average squad age is 28.6 years, making declining fitness a clear weakness.
| Date/Competition | Home | Score (HT/FT) | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
Summary | Total: 31 (Scored 11, Conceded 20); Win Rate 30.00% (W3 D2 L5) | - | - |
| 2025/11/28UEFA Europa League | Nottingham Forest | 3-0 (HT 2-0 FT 3-0) | Malmo FF |
| 2025/11/09Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 2-1 (HT 0-1 FT 2-1) | GAIS |
| 2025/11/07UEFA Europa League | Malmo FF | 0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1) | Panathinaikos |
| 2025/11/01Sweden Allsvenskan | Hacken | 1-1 (HT 0-1 FT 1-1) | Malmo FF |
| 2025/10/28Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 1-3 (HT 0-3 FT 1-3) | Hammarby |
| 2025/10/24UEFA Europa League | Malmo FF | 1-1 (HT 1-0 FT 1-1) | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2025/10/18Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping FK | 0-2 (HT 0-1 FT 0-2) | Malmo FF |
| 2025/10/05Sweden Allsvenskan | IK Sirius FK | 5-1 (HT 2-1 FT 5-1) | Malmo FF |
| 2025/10/03UEFA Europa League | FC Viktoria Plzen | 3-0 (HT 2-0 FT 3-0) | Malmo FF |
| 2025/09/28Sweden Allsvenskan | Malmo FF | 3-2 (HT 1-1 FT 3-2) | IFK Varnamo |
Summary:
The two teams employ completely different styles of play: Porto favors modern European football, emphasizing tempo control, space utilization, and collective pressing to secure wins through tactical discipline. Malmö FF, meanwhile, still adheres to traditional Nordic-style football, relying on physical battles, pace, and occasional individual brilliance. The Asian Handicap has opened at Porto -1.75 with high odds, a clear indication of strong confidence in Porto’s home victory. There is a significant gap in squad value between the two sides. Based on the above analysis, Porto are favored to win at the Estádio do Dragão (Dragon Stadium).
Final Handicap Prediction:
Porto -1.75 (Asian Handicap)
Home Win (European Handicap)
Predicted Scores: 0-3, 1-3, 1-4
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
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