Premier League : Everton vs West Ham United Prediction & Betting Tips

Premier League : Everton vs. West Ham United

Local Kick-off Time: 29/09 20:00

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Handicap Prediction:

Asian Handicap: West Ham United +0.75

European Handicap: Draw + Away Win

Predicted Scores: 1-2, 2-2, 2-3

Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5

Comprehensive Analysis

Everton’s three-match unbeaten run came to an end in the recent Merseyside Derby, where they lost 1-2 to Liverpool. In the first half, Gravenberch scored and provided an assist, while Ekitike netted the second goal for Liverpool. In the second half, Everton’s Gueye pulled one back, but they still lost at Anfield. Grealish—on loan from Manchester City—delivered an outstanding performance: he tormented Liverpool’s Bradley on the left flank, and Everton’s goal originated from his cross. Grealish also made a crucial goal-line clearance in the second half. Currently, Everton trails seventh-placed Manchester City by three points.Carrying the frustration from that defeat, Everton entered last week’s EFL Cup. Manager Moyes retained O’Brien, Tarkowski, Michael Keane, and Gana in the starting lineup. However, Wolves took the lead in the first half with a goal from Matheus. In the second half, Gana’s free-kick hit the crossbar, and Wolves sealed the victory in the 88th minute with Traoré’s debut goal.

As for West Ham United, they are also a mid-to-lower-table team like Everton, but their performance this season has been disastrous: after five rounds, they have amassed just 3 points and sit second from bottom. As a result, the club parted ways with manager Potter, and this match will be new manager Nuno’s first league game in charge. Nuno previously managed Nottingham Forest—a dark horse last season—but left due to conflicts with the club’s hierarchy; his coaching ability has already been proven. However, with only two days of coaching under his belt, West Ham’s performance in this match remains untested. After all, not everyone possesses Ancelotti’s on-the-spot adaptability.

Turning to West Ham’s squad issues: starting defensive midfielder Souček is suspended. Ward-Prowse previously did not get along with Nuno at Nottingham Forest, resulting in extremely limited playing time. Wan-Bissaka—a counter-attacking full-back—has failed to make the matchday squad since the international break. Among their original key attacking threats, Kudus has left the club, and Summerville—who has just returned from a major injury—has an uncertain fitness level. In short, West Ham is also beset with squad problems.

Summary

The market values of the two teams are €360 million and €370 million respectively. Last season, Everton finished 13th and West Ham 14th. In their last 20 head-to-head encounters, Everton has 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses. Their paper strength and market reputation are on par. However, their performances this season differ significantly: Everton has been solid, with pleasant surprises at home, while West Ham has been demoralized and suffered heavy defeats repeatedly. Nevertheless, the Asian Handicap has risen from Everton -0.5 to -0.75—almost the deepest handicap in their head-to-head history. Given the overwhelming public hype surrounding Everton, it is likely that Everton will struggle to cover this handicap. Therefore, it is worth backing West Ham to bounce back in this match.