Premier League : Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips

Match: Premier League

Fixture: Burnley vs Chelsea

Local Kick-off Time: November 22nd, 12:30

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Handicap Prediction:

Chelsea -1 (Asian Handicap)

Away Win (European Handicap)

Predicted Scores: 1-2, 1-3, 2-3

Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Burnley is currently in a difficult situation, ranking 17th with 10 points after 11 rounds, only above the relegation zone on goal difference. The team has lost 4 of their last 6 league games, with 5 of those matches seeing them concede 2 or more goals. In their past 31 Premier League games, they have only kept 2 clean sheets and conceded a total of 64 goals. The team is eager to bounce back from their away defeat last round—70% of their points this season (7 points) have come from home games. However, historical data is extremely unfavorable to them: they have not won any of their previous 9 Premier League home games against Chelsea. In terms of the squad, Amdouni, Beyer, and Roberts remain sidelined; Larsen is expected to start, while Ugochukwu will face his former club Chelsea.

Chelsea, on the other hand, has recently regained form and got back on track after an unexpected defeat to Sunderland last month. Currently sitting 3rd in the standings with 20 points, they are only 6 points behind leaders Arsenal. A win in this match will further consolidate Chelsea’s position in the table, allowing them to face the London Derby against Arsenal next weekend in a stronger position. Regarding the squad, Pedro and Enzo—who did not participate in international games—have returned and are expected to play; Palmer is unlikely to make a comeback due to a groin injury, while Lavia is sidelined with a knee injury and not expected to return until December. No other absent players have a comeback plan yet.

Summary:

The initial Asian Handicap opened with Chelsea as -1 favorites, and it has remained at this level, reflecting that Chelsea—currently in strong form—undoubtedly holds the initiative in this match. Overall, Chelsea has obvious advantages in overall strength, recent form, and historical head-to-head records. Although Burnley’s defensive resilience at home and Chelsea’s injury issues add some uncertainty to the game, Chelsea should have little trouble securing a victory away from home.