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CAF Africa Cup of Nations: Senegal vs Botswana Pro Prediction & Betting Tips

ScoreSeer Sam

Match: Africa Cup of Nations

Fixture: Senegal vs Botswana

Local Kick-off Time: December 23, 18:00

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Opening Odds 

CategoryOptionOdds
1X211.25
 X5.00
 212.00
Asian Handicap-1.51.80
 +1.52.00
ScoredGoals Threshold: 2.5-
 Over (2.5)1.82
 Under (2.5)1.97
CornersCorners Threshold: 9.5-
 Over (9.5)2.10
 Under (9.5)1.66

Summary:Senegal Win

Senegal has recorded four wins and one loss in their last five matches. Aside from a 0-2 defeat to Brazil in a friendly, they have displayed strong dominance against African opponents. Most notably, their 8-0 thrashing of Kenya in the most recent game highlighted their red-hot attacking form and ruthless efficiency against weaker sides. In their last six matches, Senegal has scored 22 goals while conceding only 4, indicating peak form in both attack and defense. In contrast, Botswana has failed to secure a single win in their last five matches, with a lackluster recent record. They lost 1-2 to Tunisia in a recent friendly and previously suffered defeats to Mozambique and Algeria in qualifiers. Their only bright spots were a draw against Egypt and a win over Somalia. Botswana has not won in regular time in their last eight matches (excluding penalty shootouts) and often struggles to score against teams with solid defenses. In terms of Asian Handicap, Senegal is given a -1.75 goal line at high odds, which is deemed reasonable based on match data analysis. Senegal is favored to win this match.

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Senegal:

Senegal is currently in a delicate period of tactical evolution. After years under former head coach Aliou CissÊ, the team was known for stability but criticized for lacking attacking creativity. The appointment of new head coach Pape Thiaw marks an attempt at tactical evolution. During the preparation phase, Senegal demonstrated dominant form, remaining unbeaten in qualifiers (5 wins, 1 draw) and conceding only one goal—boasting the best defensive record alongside Mali. More impressively, their 8-0 thrashing of Kenya in a warm-up match showcased multi-faceted attacking capabilities. This "big win" is not only a display of strength but also a signal from Thiaw: this Senegal team is no longer satisfied with pragmatic 1-0 wins and is striving for more dominant match performances. Senegal boasts unparalleled squad depth in Africa, capable of fielding two starting lineups capable of winning the title. Legendary player Sadio ManÊ remains the team's core, while Nicolas Jackson, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Lamine Camara have strengthened the team's structure.

Date/CompetitionHomeScore (HT/FT)Away

Summary

Total: 31 (Scored 23, Conceded 8); Win Rate: 60.00% (W6 D3 L1)--
2025/11/18International FriendlySenegal8-0 (HT 6-0 FT 8-0)Kenya
2025/11/16International FriendlyBrazil2-0 (HT 2-0 FT 2-0)Senegal
2025/10/15FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Senegal4-0 (HT 1-0 FT 4-0)Mauritania
2025/10/10FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)South Sudan0-5 (HT 0-1 FT 0-5)Senegal
2025/09/10FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Democratic Republic of the Congo2-3 (HT 2-1 FT 2-3)Senegal
2025/09/06FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Senegal2-0 (HT 2-0 FT 2-0)Sudan
2025/08/29CAF African Nations ChampionshipSudan1-1 (HT 1-0 FT 1-1, Penalty kick 2-1)Senegal
2025/08/27CAF African Nations ChampionshipMorocco1-1 (HT 1-1 FT 1-1, Penalty kick 5-3)Senegal
2025/08/23CAF African Nations ChampionshipUganda0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1)Senegal
2025/08/20CAF African Nations ChampionshipSudan0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0)Senegal

Botswana:

Botswana's qualification journey was one of the biggest surprises of this year's qualifiers. Against all odds, they finished second in their group behind Egypt, edging out Cape Verde and Mauritania. Their most notable result was a 1-1 away draw against the mighty Egypt, which directly laid the foundation for their qualification. Head coach Morena Ramoreboli, a tactically pragmatic coach from South Africa, acknowledges that Botswana cannot compete with African powerhouses in individual ability and has thus built a highly disciplined defensive counter-attacking system. In the pre-match press conference, Ramoreboli emphasized that despite being underestimated by the outside world, the team has strong internal belief, is ready to "fight", and hopes to make the world re-recognize Botswana football. Unlike Senegal's "all-star team", Botswana is highly reliant on its domestic league system, with only five overseas players in the squad. Most of the main players come from domestic giants Jwaneng Galaxy and Township Rollers. This personnel composition gives the players a high degree of understanding, which is particularly evident in defensive rotations and cover.

Date/CompetitionHomeScore (HT/FT)Away

Summary

Total: 28 (Scored 11, Conceded 17); Win Rate: 10.00% (W1 D4 L5)--
2025/12/18International FriendlyTunisia2-1 (HT 0-0 FT 2-1)Botswana
2025/10/15FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Guinea2-2 (HT 2-2 FT 2-2)Botswana
2025/10/10FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Botswana0-1 (HT 0-0 FT 0-1)Uganda
2025/09/08FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Mozambique2-0 (HT 1-0 FT 2-0)Botswana
2025/09/05FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Algeria3-1 (HT 1-1 FT 3-1)Botswana
2025/06/11CAF South Africa Cup of NationsBotswana3-3 (HT 2-1 FT 3-3)Zambia
2025/06/10CAF South Africa Cup of NationsComoros0-0 (HT 0-0 FT 0-0)Botswana
2025/03/26FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Botswana2-0 (HT 0-0 FT 2-0)Somalia
2025/03/21FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)Botswana1-3 (HT 0-1 FT 1-3)Algeria
2024/11/19CAF African Nations ChampionshipEgypt1-1 (HT 1-1 FT 1-1)Botswana

Final Prediction:

Handicap Prediction: 

Senegal -1.75 (Asian Handicap)

Senegal Win (European Handicap)

Predicted Scores: 3-0, 3-1, 4-0

Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5

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