Match: Serie A
Fixture: Lazio vs Cagliari
Local Kick-off Time: November 3rd 20:45
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Handicap Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Lazio -0.75
European Odds: Home Win
Expected Scores: 2-1, 3-1, 4-1
Expected Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
After 9 rounds of the league, Lazio has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, which is quite mediocre overall. Since Maurizio Sarri took charge of the team, Lazio seems to be struggling even to compete for Europa League spots, and the entire Lazio team still needs to continue practicing Sarri’s tactics well. However, after consecutive 0-1 defeats to Sassuolo and Roma, Lazio has remained unbeaten in the past 5 league games (2 wins and 3 draws). Currently, the team’s defensive quality has improved significantly, and Sarri’s tactics will definitely continue to focus on defense. Lazio has kept clean sheets in their last three league games, but their own offense is relatively weak. During this period, they only defeated Juventus 1-0, which indirectly led to the sacking of Juventus' then-manager Igor Tudor—marking Lazio’s first truly meaningful victory in a tough game this season.
Cagliari promoted U19 youth team coach Fabio Pisacane to the first-team manager position this season, replacing the sacked Davide Nicola. With a new coach in charge, the team naturally hopes to show a new look. Fabio Pisacane once led the team to 3 consecutive wins in two competitions, but the situation took a sharp turn for the worse afterwards. Cagliari has achieved 2 draws and 3 losses in their past 5 games, with worrying defensive performance—conceding nearly 2 goals per game. The backline has become the biggest problem at present, and coach Fabio Pisacane is in urgent need of solving the defensive troubles. Cagliari currently uses a three-center-back tactic with poor defensive effects. Facing the strong "Biancocelesti" (Lazio), they are at a disadvantage in all aspects. Moreover, it should be noted that the previous encounters between the two teams were extremely intense, and Cagliari is very likely to receive a red card again when playing away—making the situation even more unfavorable for them.
Summary:
In terms of the Asian Handicap, the initial line was set at Lazio -1 goal, but with high odds for Lazio. Facing Cagliari, who performed extremely well in September and drew away against Udinese and Verona, Lazio had to lower their "noble stance". Currently, the handicap has dropped to -0.75 goals, with medium odds remaining for Lazio—this is also a preventive measure against Cagliari pulling off a surprise draw. However, due to differences in squad strength and fighting spirit, Lazio still has a chance to win this game.
In the European Odds, only the away win odds have been lowered to completely disperse the betting funds! The trading strategy is similar to that of Asian bookmakers. Under such circumstances, the home team Lazio is expected to secure a victory at home in this game.
