1. Croatia vs. Czech Republic
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Croatia (ranked 11th) faces a resurgent Czech Republic (39th) in a battle for Group L supremacy. The Czechs lead the group with 9 points from three wins, while Croatia, fresh from a 7-0 thrashing of Gibraltar, aims to close the gap.
Croatia: Despite missing midfielder Borna Sosa (ankle injury), Croatia’s midfield trio of Modrić will orchestrate play. Their high possession style (58% average) and set-piece threat (30% of goals) could exploit Czech vulnerabilities. However, defensive lapses against pacey counterattacks remain a concern.
Czech Republic: Riding a four-game winning streak, the Czechs rely on Škoda’s aerial dominance and Hložek’s pace. Their compact defense (1 goal conceded in 3 games) and counterattacking efficiency (40% goals from set-pieces) pose a significant challenge.
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Norway, unbeaten in three qualifiers (9 points), faces Estonia (3 points) in a mismatch on paper. The Norwegians’ attacking firepower (12 goals scored) and Erling Haaland’s 6-goal tally headline this fixture.
Norway: Haaland’s presence dominates Norway’s 4-3-3 system, with Ødegaard’s playmaking and Solbakken’s width creating chances. Their high press and vertical transitions have overwhelmed opponents, but defensive lapses (2 goals conceded) need tightening.
Estonia: Ranked 121st, Estonia will likely deploy a low-block 5-4-1, relying on counterattacks through Luke and Anier. However, their leaky defense (16 goals conceded in 10 games) and lack of firepower make survival improbable.
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Belgium (8th) faces Wales (29th) in a critical Group J encounter. Both teams sit on 4 points, with Belgium seeking redemption after a 1-1 draw against North Macedonia.
Belgium: New coach Garcia’s 4-3-3 system prioritizes De Bruyne’s orchestration and Lukaku’s hold-up play. However, defensive inconsistencies (1.5 goals conceded per game) and Courtois’ absence (injury) weaken their resolve.
Wales: Riding a nine-game unbeaten streak, Wales counters with Bale’s experience and Moore’s physicality. Their compact midfield and set-piece threat (3 goals from corners) could exploit Belgium’s vulnerable defense.
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Italy (14th) aims to bounce back from a 3-0 loss to Norway by facing Moldova (152nd). The Azzurri’s midfield rebuild under Spalletti and defensive injuries (Buongiorno, Calafiori) will be tested.
Italy: Deploying a 4-3-3, Italy will rely on Barella’s energy and Raspadori’s movement. Their set-piece efficiency (Bastoni’s aerial threat) and high press aim to overwhelm Moldova’s 5-4-1 defense.
Moldova: Content to absorb pressure, Moldova’s counterattacks depend on Nicoară’s pace. However, their defensive frailty (7 goals conceded in 3 games) and lack of creativity spell trouble.
