Match: Club World Cup (Final)
Fixture: Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain
Local Kick-off Time: 15:00 EDT, July 13, 2025 (Eastern Daylight Time)
Venue: MetLife Stadium, New York, USA
Referee: Szymon Marciniak (Poland)
- Assistant Referees: Tomasz Listkiewicz (Poland), Adam Kopyciński (Poland)
- Fourth Official: Mustapha Ghorbal (Algeria)
- Video Assistant Referee (VAR): Fu Ming (China)
Team Strength Summary:
Chelsea have had an impressive run in this Club World Cup. Though they finished second in the group stage after losing to Flamengo, they advanced to the knockout stage and defeated strong opponents like Benfica and Palmeiras. Benefiting from the "upper half advantage," they avoided European powerhouses until the final. In the last semifinal, winter signing João Pedro stood out with a brace, helping the team beat Fluminense.
Paris Saint-Germain are in red-hot form, winning seven of their last eight matches. Luis Enrique’s side thrashed Real Madrid 4-0 in the semifinal, showcasing their tactical style of high pressing, fast tempo, and vertical progression, which gave them an overwhelming advantage. Under PSG’s intense pressing, they took a 2-goal lead within the first nine minutes of the game.
Handicap Prediction:
Paris Saint-Germain -1 (Asian Handicap)
Away Win (European Odds)
Predicted Scores: 1-2, 1-3, 2-3
Changes in Betting Data:
Major Asian bookmakers currently offer Paris Saint-Germain -1 as the handicap for this match. Given PSG’s performance in previous Club World Cup matches and their record of defeating multiple top-five league giants in various competitions this season, a -1 handicap is reasonable. Initial European Odds are mainly 5.00-4.35-1.63, with Chelsea still having some appeal—after all, the team has performed well in the latter part of the season following heavy signings, even winning the Europa Conference League. However, overall, PSG are still a notch above, and Chelsea may struggle to cope with PSG’s star-studded attack.
Predicted Goals: 3, 4, 5
Changes in Betting Data (Goals):
Centered on major Asian bookmakers, the initial total goals line for this match was 3, which remains stable, with slightly lower odds for the over. This indicates that future betting interest is likely to focus on the over. PSG have scored 10 goals in their last three matches, while Chelsea have scored 5 in three knockout games—both teams have solid attacking firepower, suggesting an open style of play.
Predicted Corner Kicks: Over 9.5
Corner Kick Analysis:
Chelsea use flexible tactics, mainly deploying a 4-2-3-1 in the group stage, while also using 3-2-4-1 and 4-3-3 in the knockout stage. Their current attacking methods focus on a combination of central and wide play (central penetration and winger cutting inside), creating chances through Palmer’s through balls and Neto’s strong dribbles.
PSG have mainly used a 4-3-3 formation in this Club World Cup, with attacks relying on overlapping runs from Achraf and Nuno Mendes, and inside cuts from wingers like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Edu.
Both teams have strong breakthrough abilities in wide areas based on their tactical styles and personnel, and they are sure to strengthen wide arrangements in this clash, leading to more corners.
